Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 106.902678 118.589595 130.641375 143.970907 158.273246 173.131787 189.707885
2024-10-20 85.147053 101.938061 120.192007 141.392985 165.219810 191.053649 221.061626
2024-10-27 69.275553 89.297447 112.183332 139.983341 172.537905 209.157377 253.157762
2024-11-03 59.995346 82.766845 109.999190 144.399642 186.112748 234.482531 294.211735
2024-11-10 51.964974 76.544323 107.225943 147.406679 197.678062 257.548741 333.240601
2024-11-17 45.777751 71.738573 105.460556 151.086409 209.771042 281.296346 373.554411
2024-11-24 41.034948 68.164758 104.727776 155.675782 222.829015 306.338463 415.922481
2024-12-01 33.772634 60.101950 97.137810 150.495085 222.759752 314.619369 437.412048
2024-12-08 28.622867 54.400865 92.145463 148.206139 225.999374 326.814649 463.761214
2024-12-15 25.254784 50.959764 89.971896 149.477911 233.790565 344.852543 497.756859
2024-12-22 22.608073 48.308998 88.655076 151.724693 242.791740 364.517850 534.111133
2024-12-29 21.110377 47.377157 89.803730 157.487337 256.736726 390.975920 579.794818
2025-01-05 19.142356 45.446095 89.322546 160.915478 267.686315 413.958626 621.823320
2025-01-12 16.488317 41.897722 85.933881 159.696738 271.853762 427.748403 651.852290
2025-01-19 14.281793 38.857493 83.085400 159.068318 276.744710 442.552092 683.472760
2025-01-26 13.298378 38.114751 84.054561 164.459842 290.656110 470.213663 733.112737
2025-02-02 12.148700 36.847628 83.973626 168.086830 301.947971 494.342781 778.253188
2025-02-09 11.204484 35.874310 84.303826 172.326173 314.200225 519.988790 825.819362
2025-02-16 10.464662 35.248712 85.197440 177.490634 327.959121 548.007292 877.090647
2025-02-23 8.559829 31.512882 79.906848 171.846756 324.616547 551.062843 893.214602
2025-03-02 7.246759 28.950456 76.600545 169.359176 326.039898 560.972928 919.054420
2025-03-09 6.457788 27.603254 75.574662 170.782776 333.683989 580.140258 958.322063
2025-03-16 5.841922 26.611179 75.176790 173.272400 343.066137 602.009224 1001.731882